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When a tariff changes, logistics changes as well

January 28, 2026

The 900% increase in Colombian crude transport through Ecuador

The recent increase of more than 900% in the tariff for transporting Colombian crude oil through the Trans-Ecuadorian Pipeline System (SOTE) has been widely reported across the region. The measure, confirmed by the Government of Ecuador, raised the approximate cost per barrel from levels close to 3 dollars to around 30 dollars, amid a context of trade and tariff tensions with Colombia.

Beyond the political or diplomatic impact, this type of decision clearly shows how a tariff change can immediately alter the operational logic of international logistics, especially in sectors highly sensitive to transportation costs such as energy.

The news seen from an international logistics perspective

Transporting crude oil through cross-border infrastructure is not only a matter of tariffs, but of planning, operational continuity, and predictability. When a tariff is modified abruptly and unilaterally, the entire associated logistics structure must adjust in real time.

In this case, the increase applied by Ecuador directly affects operations that use the SOTE as a key corridor to move Colombian crude oil to international markets. This implies reviewing costs, flows, contracts, and schedules in an environment where room for maneuver is limited. From a logistics standpoint, the news stops being just a percentage increase and becomes a critical variable that impacts daily operational decisions.

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A trade environment that translates into logistics operations

According to Ecuadorian authorities, the measure occurs in a context of trade disagreements with Colombia, including the application of tariffs on Ecuadorian products and the suspension of electricity sales. Ecuador stated that the tariff adjustment seeks to reflect the value of the service provided to foreign users of the pipeline. When these tensions translate into concrete operational decisions such as a transportation tariff, logistics becomes the first point of impact. Operators must absorb or redistribute costs, adjust planning, and maintain service continuity without affecting commitments to clients and markets.

Learn how Fenix Global Cargo manages international logistics operations under regulatory and tariff changes.

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The Colombian response and its logistics interpretation

The Government of Colombia rejected the measure and described it as unilateral and disproportionate. The Ministry of Mines and Energy stated that the increase violates prior agreements and affects producers who depend on the SOTE to export their crude oil.

From a logistics perspective, this response reflects a key concern: the loss of stability in a route that had previously operated under predictable conditions. When stability breaks, logistics shifts from operating under known assumptions to managing operational and financial risk scenarios.

Direct impact on planning and operating costs

An increase of this magnitude does not only modify the unit cost of transportation. It also forces a reassessment of budgets, the viability of specific operations, and cargo flow projections. In addition, the increase occurs in a context of less favorable international oil prices, reducing the margins available to absorb logistics cost increases. In this environment, each operational decision carries greater weight and requires precise analysis to avoid cumulative effects on the supply chain.

Discover how Fenix Global Cargo adjusts logistics operations when transport tariffs change.

Non-definitive analysis of possible operational effects

The following section corresponds to speculative analysis based on the described context. It does not constitute confirmed information nor should it be interpreted as an official fact or projection. If the tariff increase remains in place, it could lead to greater caution in crude export logistics planning, as well as continuous review of routes, agreements, and operational schemes. It could also encourage the search for greater logistics flexibility to reduce exposure to unilateral decisions.

What this news makes clear for international logistics

The more than 900% increase in the tariff for transporting Colombian crude oil through the Ecuadorian pipeline demonstrates how international logistics is directly exposed to political and trade decisions that can materialize without warning. For companies operating in foreign trade and cross-border transportation, having logistics management prepared for changing scenarios is not a competitive advantage, but an operational necessity.

Explore how Fenix Global Cargo ensures operational continuity for its clients in scenarios of high commercial uncertainty.

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